NASA: Believe Us, Not Student, On Asteroid Collision Chances | Aero-News Network
Aero-News Network
RSS icon RSS feed
podcast icon MP3 podcast
Subscribe Aero-News e-mail Newsletter Subscribe

Airborne Unlimited -- Recent Daily Episodes

Episode Date






Airborne On ANN

Airborne 11.23.15

Airborne 11.24.15

Airborne 11.25.15

Airborne 11.19.15

Airborne 11.20.15

Airborne Hi-Def On YouTube

Airborne 11.23.15

Airborne 11.24.15

Airborne 11.25.15

Airborne 11.19.15

Airborne 11.20.15

EAA/ANN AirVenture Innovation Preview

AIP-#1 Vimeo

AIP-#2 Vimeo

AIP-Part 1 YouTube

AIP-Part 2 YouTube

Thu, Apr 17, 2008

NASA: Believe Us, Not Student, On Asteroid Collision Chances

German Teen Claims 1-In-450 Chance Apophis Will Hit Earth

Don't believe the kid. That's the somewhat-weary message NASA had this week in regards to a story spreading like wildfire over the Internet, of a German student who claims his calculations place the chances of a planet-killing asteroid collision with Earth in 2036 far higher than the space agency has reported.

The story gained traction after the German newspaper Potsdamer Neuerster Nachrichten reported Tuesday on the findings of student Nico Marquardt, who in his project for a regional science competition placed the chances of the asteroid Apophis striking Earth at one-in-450 -- far greater than NASA's statements of a 1-in-45,000 chance Apophis will hit our planet.

Apart from the potentially catastrophic undertones, of course, those claims make a great story -- "13-year-old wunderkind beats space agency at its own game." But NASA adamantly maintains its figures, not Marquardt's, are the ones to take to the bank.

"Contrary to recent press reports, NASA offices involved in near-Earth object research were not contacted and have had no correspondence with a young German student, who claims the Apophis impact probability is far higher than the current estimate," NASA said in a prepared statement Wednesday.

NASA spokesman Dwayne Brown told Agence-France Presse experts at the agency's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, CA are certain their figures are correct, stating Near-Earth Object Program Office "has not changed its current estimates for the very low probability (1 in 45,000) of an Earth impact by the asteroid Apophis in 2036."

The agency also say the German newspaper inaccurately reported NASA told the European Space Agency that Marquardt's figures -- which assume Apophis will collide with an orbiting satellite in 2029, sending the asteroid's trajectory much closer to Earth than previously calculated -- were actually correct.

"The asteroid will not pass near the main belt of geosynchronous satellites in 2029, and the chance of a collision with a satellite is exceedingly remote," NASA said. "Therefore, consideration of this satellite collision scenario does not affect the current impact probability estimate for Apophis, which remains at 1 in 45,000."

So there. NASA hopes we all feel better.



More News

Airborne 11.25.15: Blue Origin Reusable Rocket!, AMA Reacts, Transgender Pilots

Also: UK CAA, E-Fest 2015, Citizens In Space, Gulfstream G500, Dassault Falcon Jet, CFM LEAP-1A, Tuskegee's Milton Crenchaw ANN Airborne Link: /index.cfm?do=video.playVideo&vid>[...]

SpaceX Rocket Debris Found Near The U.K. Isles Of Scilly

Piece Is A Panel From The Interstage Module From ISS Resupply Mission CRS-4 Launched Over A Year Ago A panel from a SpaceX Falcon 9 booster was found floating in the ocean Thursday>[...]

ANN's Daily Aero-Linx (11.28.15)

National Coalition for Aviation Education The National Coalition for Aviation Education is a membership organization that was formed in 1993 when the founding member groups signed >[...]

ANN's Daily Aero-Term (11.28.15): Flight Recorder

A general term applied to any instrument or device that records information about the performance of an aircraft in flight or about conditions encountered in flight.>[...]

Aero-News: Quote Of The Day (11.28.15)

"The markings show an American flag. It looks like it’s an American rocket and is similar to the unmanned SpaceX Falcon 9 which blew up shortly after take-off from Cape Canav>[...]

blog comments powered by Disqus





© 2007 - 2015 Web Development & Design by Pauli Systems, LC