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Wed, Mar 19, 2008

Boeing Plays The Economy Card Against KC-45A

The KC-X Battle Drags On...

We couldn't believe it, either. An entire week has passed since ANN last ran a story related to the recent awarding of a lucrative US Air Force tanker contract to a team comprised of EADS and Northrop Grumman, over an offering from Boeing.

Last time we checked in, Boeing had lodged a formal protest to the Government Accountability Office... claiming, essentially, the Air Force altered its own rules to favor the larger Northrop/EADS KC-45A during the contract evaluation process, over Boeing's smaller KC-767.

This week, Boeing claimed the US Air Force likely would pay up to $30 billion more in fuel bills over 40 years to operate its fleet of 179 Airbus A330-200-based KC-45A aerial refueling tankers, compared to a similar number of tankers based on the Boeing 767-200ER.

Boeing bases its assessment on a Conklin & de Decker Aviation Information study, funded by Boeing earlier this year, that calculated the Air Force's cost with oil at $100 per barrel and $125 per barrel. Oil prices hit a record high last week above $110 a barrel, and many analysts expect prices to continue climbing.

In January, the American planemaker funded and released a 53-page study by Conklin & de Decker, that claimed Boeing's 767 airplane consumed 24 percent less fuel than the larger A330 and would save about $14.6 billion in fuel costs over 40 years. The study used published data to calculate the fuel consumption of flying a fleet of 179 767-200ER and Airbus A330-200 aircraft over a 40-year service life. The Air Force's Request for Proposal called for a highly capable, medium-sized, low-risk and low-cost refueling tanker to replace its aging fleet of KC-135 tankers.

Conklin & de Decker recalculated fuel price costs for the Boeing 767-200ER and the Airbus A330-200, commercial twin-aisle aircraft that are being converted to military aerial refueling tankers. Boeing says both planes fly about the same distance, but the larger, heavier A330 is less fuel efficient than the 767-200ER. As a result, the A330-200 consumes 24 percent more fuel per trip than the 767-200ER.

The study also factored in estimated costs of refining, transportation, storage, handling and fueling the aircraft. It concluded the estimated price per gallon at $3.11 with oil costing $100 per barrel would cost the Air Force about $25 billion dollar more over the 40-year service life of 179 Airbus A330-200 tankers, and $29.8 billion more with oil at $125 a barrel.

The Air Force previously estimated that it pays an additional $600 million a year for each $10 per barrel increase.

On February 29, the Air Force selected Northrop Grumman-EADS to build 179 next-generation A330 tankers. In briefing Boeing on their decision, Air Force evaluators acknowledged that they placed little value on fuel and maintenance lifecycle costs, Boeing claims, despite paying $6.6 billion on aviation fuel in 2006.

"Based upon what we have seen, we continue to believe we submitted the most capable, the lowest risk and lowest cost airplane as measured against the Air Force's Request for Proposal," said Mark McGraw, vice president, Boeing Tanker Programs. "This latest estimate in increased life-cycle costs for the Airbus plane adds to our fundamental concerns with the Air Force's evaluation and decision."

As ANN has reported extensively, EADS/Northrop argue the "flaw" Boeing cites -- the KC-45A's larger size -- is in fact its greatest advantage: it can hold more fuel and cargo than the KC-767, and carry it farther... making the larger, less-fuel efficient plane more economical in the long run.

FMI: www.globaltanker.com, www.gao.gov

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