Tue, Jan 03, 2012
IATA Report Shows Passenger Traffic Down Over Previous
Months
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced
global traffic results for November showing a softening in
passenger markets while air cargo markets remained weak compared to
levels attained earlier in the year. Passenger traffic was 4.3%
above November 2010 levels but this is skewed as November 2010 was
a particularly weak month. The softening in passenger markets
becomes apparent when comparing to the previous month (October
2011). This shows a 0.5% decline on a seasonally-adjusted
basis.
Freight markets were 3.1% below November 2010 levels despite a
1.1% increase on October 2011 performance.
“Weak global economic performance is being reflected in air
transport markets. Freight markets have contracted some 4% compared
to January. Although passenger markets have had some growth
relative to the beginning of the year – about 2% – the
trend has been both soft and volatile. Continuing economic
uncertainty will likely mean market shortcomings deepening as we
enter 2012,” said Tony Tyler, IATA’s Director General
and CEO.
Globally, passenger load factors have fallen sharply to 76.3% from
78.5% in October. This shows that the weakness in passenger demand
is outpacing airlines’ ability to adjust capacity
accordingly. Regional differences are sharp. While North American
carriers saw a 0.8% decline in travel, carriers in the Middle East
experienced a 10.1% increase, followed by 9.0% for Latin American
airlines.
International travel markets continue to be weaker than domestic
markets. Compared to October, international demand contracted by
1.5% while domestic demand grew by 1.3%. Overall domestic
performance was better than that of international markets with 4.7%
year-on-year growth in November and an average load factor of
79.2%. Air freight markets continued their decline in line with
weak economic performance and falling business confidence.
International markets declined by 3.8%. This was offset by 2.0%
growth in domestic markets. Nonetheless, system wide demand shrank
by 3.1% in comparison with November 2010.
"The year-end holiday season reminds us all of the importance of
connectivity and how aviation is a force for good in the world.
Global supply chains bring holiday goods to markets. Millions of
people are reunited with family and friends. Millions more embark
on journeys of discovery or rest and relaxation. Early in the New
Year they will be joined by business travelers seeking to grow
their businesses by exploring new markets opportunities,”
said Tyler.
“This year the story of aviation’s importance is even
more compelling as governments around the world seek solutions to
economic uncertainty. Economic growth is the only durable solution.
Aviation can be a catalyst for that growth. But that depends on
governments allowing airlines to get on with the business of
providing global connectivity. The New Year’s resolution for
every government with respect to aviation should be to stop
over-taxation or mis-regulation of this vital economic
driver,” said Tyler.
IATA is estimating the airline industry will make a collective
profit of $6.9 billion in 2011 for a net margin of 1.2%. IATA
forecasts that this will fall to $3.5 billion in 2012 (0.6% net
margin). But the association has warned that the downside risk of
the Euro-zone crisis failing to be resolved could lead to losses in
excess of $8 billion.
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